This is comments page 4. Read the full post here:-Lottery Number Patterns: Analysing Results Reveals The Unusual
Kim // Apr 23, 2012 at 10:51 pm
I do have a couple more questions for you lottery guy. How in the world did you become the lottery guy? Is this how you make your living or is it a hobby? Just wondering. I also wanted to get your thoughts on something else, so I guess it’s not a question. I saw an interview with Sylvia Brown the psychic and she was asked if she can be used by the police to find missing people or predict upcoming doom, why she can’t win the lottery and her answer is it wouldn’t be fair to use her powers that way. I say she made an ass out of herself, what do you think?
LG // Apr 23, 2012 at 11:55 pm
1. I got really hacked off at the amount of ‘lottery system’ garbage being peddled online by er, ‘people of low morals’ shall we say, as well as the amount of misinformation being spread usually by well meaning but misguided individuals (and often the media too!). So this site was born. A lone voice of reason in a wilderness of garbage and shady product claims :-). It’s an obsession. Guilty as charged.
2. Absolutely. It’s the same claim all psychics rely on (don’t get me started on psychics…). It’s like a bad magician – it only works if you don’t look too closely.
W Rogers // Jul 1, 2012 at 12:51 am
Lets say that in a 6/45 game I have noticed in the past 2 years, 1 year, 6 months & 3 months that there are more 3/3 combinations of odd/even draws. Couple that with the fact that 72% of the drawings have total sums between 100-200. I wold say that forgettin the numbers painted on the balls there is a more likely than not that these facts will repeat Therefore I feel that using this in some selection strategy my increase my chances by a small amout.
Picture the ocean being a giant pool of numbers. And the fish that swim in them are just numbers. If i randomly pick a place to fish and I catch more barracuda than say papio and bonefish I can reasonably expect to catch a barracuda the next 10 times out as compared to the other species. Probably a bad analogy but what I am tryin to alude to is that i may not be able to catch the correct sequence BUT I can reasonbly expect to catch a certain ratio of one to the other
LG // Jul 1, 2012 at 1:06 am
Yup, bad analogy :-). There’s a reason certain breeds of fish hang around certain areas – so it’s not a random process.
Forgetting there are numbers painted on the balls is probably the best way to understand why none of these patterns have any value in trying to predict results. Balls fall out of the machine randomly, by design. They don’t remember whose turn it is to come out. They don’t remember to make sure they add up to certain sums or averages. They don’t know who is odd or who is even.
Any ‘trends’ you see are just passing patterns in a random series of results. Which are of no use at all in predicting what comes next. If you roll a dice enough times eventually you will get 3 sixes in a row – but it doesn’t tell you anything useful.
I know everybody wants to believe differently, but that’s just the way it is by design, and by law. Nobody has ever successfully predicted a lottery result and they never will. Not in a legal lottery anyway 🙂
Rigon // Jul 1, 2012 at 12:02 pm
I understand exactly what you’re saying and where you are coming from W Rogers. The only reason why the Lottery Guy would have a difficult time with it is because if what we were saying was true then of course, he’d have to see the winnings to believe it. The one main reason why I couldn’t prove it to him is because I simply just don’t have the money to purchase a large sum of tickets on the theory you and I have. Our theory would work most excellent with people who pool their money to play. I’ll agree this much with the LG, it is random, but you can’t deny that certain patterns of odd/even numbers do appear more often than others throughout the year.
LG // Jul 2, 2012 at 8:44 pm
Patterns will always appear in historical results – but that’s just what random does. Those patterns won’t help you predict future results.
If you roll a dice enough times you will get a series of the same number 5 times in a row, but it doesn’t mean that number is suddenly any more or less likely than anything else on the next roll.
I’m going to talk about this kind of thing a lot more in my upcoming private strategy group – shhh… it’s a secret for now… 😉
Tyler // Aug 30, 2012 at 2:08 am
Lottery Guy I completely agree with your argument. I think anyone who doesn’t agree just is just simply not thinking how the machine works. Not that I know much about how they work but I do know when you see a drawing all the balls bouncing around there is no way anyone can predict which ball will fall through the hole and in which sequence (unless some balls were weighted which of course is not legal)
Lets say you were to graph lottery results (and I am sure someone on the Internet has). You may find a pattern in say 100 lottery results but the more trials performed the closer your graph will become a straight line (not any number more likely to occur than the next).
I am kind of ashamed to say that I stumbled upon this site because I was trying to find my own patterns in recent lottery results. I now feel like an idiot 🙁 but then thought of statistics class back in high school and working with a random number generator and graphing the results of a die.
Thank you lottery guy for opening my eyes before I waste my time finding patterns that aren’t there. I haven’t subscribed to your lottery tips but my personal tip to anyone that reads this… JUST GET A QUICK PICK! 75% of lottery winners come from quick picks. You cannot beat statistics. Thanks again 🙂
LG // Sep 3, 2012 at 8:28 pm
Yup. And you’re right, there’s not much wrong with a quick pick 🙂
People often get obsessed with picking numbers, and then totally miss out all the big picture strategy stuff – like choosing the right game for them to start with! Virtually none of the trashy lottery systems out there even begin to cover this stuff. That’s why I’m putting together my own strategy group. You can’t pick numbers more likely to win, but there’s plenty you can do before you even reach for a playslip.
Simon // Sep 8, 2012 at 11:23 pm
The numbers are repeating randomly. If we eliminate that then we come up with real numbers. If you are interested you may send 15 days draws for California Fantasy Five. I will send you the analysis of what will happen next and each avenue you take at least to have three numbers in each column. In California Fantasy Five we have 39 balls, and we need to choose 5 numbers from it. In the basket most researcher in prediction never take out numbers or balls from the basket. In real the cube or the balls in the basket get less and less in dimension. Then the chances are big two or three numbers come together, just like magic. It is like you take your blood test and analysis. This is nuclear engineering in my graduate schools. If you interested you may send the first prediction is free, but after that it will be $50 for each request. The random numbers have pattern if we do certain filtration. I have studied Fuzzy math for 14 years. I am an abnormal data mine researcher. I am looking for investor too. All answers to the prediction will be by fax.
LG // Sep 9, 2012 at 2:18 am
Are you serious Simon..?
You’re honestly telling us you can reliably predict the results, yet you want $50 from everybody…
(Did you happen to read my post, or comments here?)
Simon // Sep 18, 2012 at 7:41 pm
you do not understand the way I do things nobody beleives ,even the super scientists just listen ,see my results I do predict scientifically what you have to lose to test me.?
LG // Sep 18, 2012 at 8:15 pm
There’s a very good reason nobody believes you.
Keen // Oct 20, 2012 at 12:25 am
What a debate, Lottery Guy? Ever wondered since it’s so random why 3 or more persons never won, except they pool play & at no given time nowhere in the world the machine didn’t pick a number that a lot of persons had? Food 4 thought.
LG // Oct 20, 2012 at 12:54 am
Hmm, it’s actually not strange really. A typical 6/49 game, for example, has over 13 MILLION different combinations – so the chances of lots of people picking the same combination is pretty tiny. Some combinations don’t even get picked once, which is why sometimes nobody wins and you get a rollover draw.
So it’s really not surprising that most of the time the jackpot is only won by one person, or just a few people. Unless a very ‘popular’ combination of numbers is drawn, and then you tend to get greater number of winners. A good reason to avoid picking too many popular or ‘lucky’ numbers 🙂
RC // Jan 21, 2013 at 6:50 am
Well there is an explanation for that! If the numbers are smaller they are picked by lots of people. As some people think that their birthday is a Good Number (Less then 31) and month (less than 12) and total of the birth year (1934 = 1+9+3+4 =17=7+1=8) and other things. If all the nos are on the higher side, chances of anyone winning is actually small! This pattern is how people think while choosing the no, and not the pattern for machine drawing it!
LG // Jan 21, 2013 at 6:27 pm
Exactly RC – and that’s an example of what I call popular combinations. Along with lucky numbers and various other patterns people like to use.
Just for clarity. This doesn’t change the chances of a particular combination being drawn or not drawn. It just affects the likelihood of how many people have actually picked it.
Chris H // Oct 21, 2012 at 2:44 am
Maybe the balls were meant to be designed the same way, but some are slightly heavier than each other and that alters the results because nobody can make a perfect copy, there is always a flaw in the second or third and so forth.
LG // Oct 22, 2012 at 6:47 pm
That’s certainly possible. Although they are going to be made to very fine tolerances, and checked regularly. But that’s just 1 of many, many tiny factors that could affect a draw. And a lot of those factors are not static either, they change over time – e.g. a slightly heavier ball will wear more quickly. Then there’s the temperature of the studio, the speed the draw machine motors are running, vibrations from a passing truck, and so on.
Add all those external factors into the mix and things just get even more random.
Jon // Nov 15, 2012 at 10:42 pm
I don’t know why the odds of hitting the jackpot are set at 1 in 175,711,536 ? That seems to be way too high and contradicts the n! principle of available combinations. Why is it not 1 in 21,085,384,320 as given by 56x55x54x53x52x46 ? I’m not interested in just hitting any winning number, but just that one jackpot number. Either case, a person’s chances of taking all the vacuum cleaner bag’s dust, compressing it infinitely, and creating their own little Universe is better than hitting the lottery. However, if one is not holding a number, then the odds are |O|,
LG // Nov 15, 2012 at 4:22 pm
Ah, that’s because the order the numbers are drawn out does not matter. So you also have to divide by the number of ways the same combinations can happen (if that makes sense) to eliminate them, before you multiply by the 46 – there’s an example in my odds of winning Mega Millions post.
Cynthia // Nov 28, 2012 at 7:10 pm
We must also take into account that before the official numbers are drawn the machine is checked for accuracy at least 3-4 times so you may have had the winning numbers in those draws. Just didnt count.
Twentyonefeet // Oct 23, 2013 at 12:40 am
How would doing drawings test for accuracy? Accuracy in what? You throw some balls in the machine, let it run long enough to mix em’ up, and then hit the button to let the balls pop out. And running it “3-4 times” sounds like it’s fixed for a particular result. Of course, I would not be surprised to learn there are little tiny electro-magnets in each ball that can be activated remotely.
Doug Boseman // Jun 4, 2013 at 5:56 pm
I had a theory about the balls with more paint on them being either more likely or less likely to come up or out (are the machines designed to account 4 weight) if not random is out of the question. Every edge is a lot of help add them all together and I have won the jackpot! What took yall so long to even discuss this?
LG // Jun 5, 2013 at 12:03 am
It would be great if we could rely on factors like this to give us even the tiniest edge :-).
But lottery companies have machines and balls built to very tight tolerances. They monitor and audit them. And they change/repair them without notifying us. You can even argue that heavier balls would wear faster and therefore end up losing any bias over time..!
Then there’s all the changeable factors we can’t even begin to monitor.
I’d love to join the ‘believers’, but (significantly) none of them have ever been able to prove any bias has given them an edge. And I just don’t love playing with spreadsheets enough to join them for the fun of it 😉
Brian // Jun 8, 2013 at 7:41 pm
Most of what you say is true. However, the past results do ,indeed, have something useful for us. Personally, I’ve been doing so with great success. In fact, if we didn’t rely on past draws then we would have very little to go on. Therefore, we have to .
LG // Jun 11, 2013 at 10:22 pm
Sorry Brian but in all my years I’ve never seen anyone prove any value in past results for prediction.
People often think they have ‘something’ but it always turns out to be either 1. they don’t know how to identify a significant result, or 2. they have convinced themselves that ‘it works sometimes’ which is just luck at play (and points to 1. again!).
Of course you may have something different… But in reality it’s totally logical that past results cannot help – it is the way the game is supposed to be by design. And any potential bias is so small and changeable itself that it’s totally untrackable in reality.
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